Dave Hodges

March 2, 2014

The Common Sense Show

Armed servicemen stand near Russian army vehicles outside a Ukrainian border guard post in the Crimean town of Balaclava

Obama is famous for drawing imaginary red lines in the sand and then not acting. He warned Russia about their involvement in the Syrian conflict in which hundreds of thousands have died. He warned Russia against assisting Iran with its nuclear program. Putin has ignored Obama at every turn and holds him in absolute contempt. The unfolding war in Ukraine is just another case in point. Obama does not have the intestinal fortitude to stand up to Putin. Or, is Obama playing for a much higher authority and Putin is supposed to win? I will address the “theatrical aspect” of what could be playing out behind the scenes in the Rothschild/Rockefeller bankster empire in a later article. This article is focusing on connecting the dots of the key events as they are occurring in near real time as it relates to a military standoff in Ukraine.

Putin Receives Approval to Invade Ukraine

On March 1, 2014 at 420pm (EST) Reuters reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin has insisted upon and has won the approval of the Russian  parliament to invade the Ukraine. Conversely, the new Ukrainian government is warning of war and has subsequently put its troops on high alert and has appealed to NATO for military assistance.

Ukranian Foreign Minister Andriy Deshchytsya has met with European and US officials and sent a request to NATO to “examine all possibilities to protect the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Ukraine”. Obama is already on the record stating that the US would defend the Ukraine.

Reuters is further reporting that troops wearing uniforms with no identifying insignias, but have been identified as Russian troops, riding in vehicles with Russian license plates, have captured and occupied Crimea.

As I reported on Friday, Crimea is an isolated peninsula in the Black Sea which contains the headquarters of the Russian Black Sea Fleet. The maintenance of the Black Sea Fleet is vital to the defense of Russia’s Southwestern underbelly. Further, any hope that Russia maintains of defending Syria and Iran from an American invasion rests upon the preservation of the Black Sea Fleet Headquarters in the city of Sevastopol.  Kiev’s new authorities have been powerless to stop them.

In a later development, Ukrainian acting Prime Minister, Arseny Yatseniuk, stated that “It is unacceptable when armored Russian military vehicles are out in the center of Ukrainian towns”. The statement was made on Saturday before a government meeting in the Ukrainian capital city of Kiev.

Russian aircraft carrying nearly 2,000 troops have landed at a military airbase near the regional capital of the restive Crimean peninsula, a top Ukrainian official has said, accusing Moscow of an “armed invasion”.

Thirteen Russian aircraft landed at the airport of Gvardeyskoye [near the city of Simferopol] with 150 people in each one,” Sergiy Kunitsyn, the Ukrainian president’s special representative in Crimea. He also said that the airspace had been closed when the deployment happened. It strongly appears that a massive Russian troop buildup is underway in Crimea. Is invading Ukraine Putin’s next move?

CNN is reporting that airspace in the region reopened Saturday, only a day after Ukraine accused Russian Black Sea forces of trying to seize two important airports in Crimea. However, Ukrainian security forces had prevented them from taking control. It appears that Russia is not committed to physically engaging Ukrainian military forces at this time. Once the full Russian force is in place, that fact may change.

The Wall Street Journal is Reporting that pro-Russian Crimean militias are blocking key roads to the area in order to keep the military forces from Kiev entering the region and assuming governmental control. These events are clearly the precursor to a bloody civil war in which Russia will clearly interject themselves into the conflict.

Speaking on Friday, Obama, the US president, said he was “deeply concerned” at the reports of the troop movements of Russian Federation soldiers in Crimea. Obama said: “Any violation of Ukraine’s sovereignty would be deeply disturbing.”

Ukraine’s acting president, Oleksander Turchinov, is accusing Russia of committing an open invasion of Crimea, thus, this is an attack upon the sovereignty of Ukraine.

Turchinov compared Russians actions to what they did to Georgia, in 2008, in terms of invading  Akhazia region which has a large ethnic Russian population.

Russia’s actions remind me of how Hitler’s Germany occupied Czechoslovakia without firing a shot in order to ostensibly protect German speaking residents. Crimea is a unique province within Ukraine in that most of the citizens are Russian and align themselves with Moscow. Putin has stated that Russian forces are in Crimea to protect the interest of pro-Russians in the area.

Obama and European leaders would consider skipping a G8 summit in Sochi, Russia, planned for this summer if Russia intervenes militarily in Ukraine, a senior US official said on Friday.

The senior official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the US is consulting with its European partners on potential costs that might be imposed on Russia for any Ukraine intervention.The official said Washington’s response could also include withholding deeper trade and commerce ties that Moscow is seeking. These are impotent threats being made by Obama.

Stop Or I’ll Say Stop Again

Ukrainian people take part in a rally against Russia in front of the U.S. embassy in Kiev March 1, 2014.

Ukrainian people take part in a rally against Russia in front of the U.S. embassy in Kiev March 1, 2014.

Obama is all bark and no bite as he has called on Putin, the Russian president, to stop “provocations” in the semi-autonomous region of Crimea.

“Russia has sent forces into Crimea… they are working on scenarios which are fully analogous with Abkhazia, when having initiated a military conflict, they started to annex the territory,” he said in televised comments.

Two Crimean airports, the main international airport in Simferopol and a military airfield in the city of Sevastopol, have been taken over by what the Ukrainian Interior Minister Arsen Avakov claimed to be members of the Russian Federation Fleet, in a statement posted on his Facebook account.

 

It is quite clear that we have multiple accounts which clearly state that Russia has occupied Crimea and the only opposition are a few Ukrainian military bases in the region. Again, Putin has outmaneuvered the West just as he did in Syria in the Fall of 2013. 

 

The West does not appear to have the stomach to oppose Putin in Crimea. Putin has won. However, if Putin goes into Ukraine, that may be a different story.

 The rubber will meet the road when the Russians decide what they are going to do with Ukrainian military bases located in Crimea. Clearly, if the Russians attack, or prevent resupply to these bases, the Ukraine will attack. There are already unconfirmed reports that there is a rapid deployment force of American NATO troops which have arrived in Ukraine. Everything points towards war if Putin continues on his present path. 

It is clear that the Russians are not going to remove its military interests from Crimea. It is also clear that the Ukrainians are not going to remove their military bases from Crimea. Something has to give and the fate of Ukraine, and ultimately the world will depend on whether or not a field commander does not make a miscalculation resulting in a shot hear around the world.

This just in, the US Sixth Fleet is sailing towards Crimea. Wasn’t it nice that the powers that be could wait until the corporate sponsored Olympics concluded? This opens the real possibility that Obama and Putin are following a predetermined script.